Swansea vs Birmingham Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Swansea Birmingham

Swansea W L D W D W

Birmingham W W L D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Swansea	Birmingham	1 - 1	January 17, 2026
Birmingham	Swansea	1 - 0	September 20, 2025
Birmingham	Swansea	2 - 2	January 13, 2024
Swansea	Birmingham	1 - 1	August 5, 2023
Swansea	Birmingham	3 - 4	February 4, 2023
Birmingham	Swansea	2 - 2	November 8, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Home	Udinese	2 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	VfL Bochum	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Holstein Kiel	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Charlton	3 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Norwich	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 21, 26	Away	QPR	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Burton Albion	0 - 1	Win
Jul 15, 26	Away	Solihull Moors	0 - 3	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Huddersfield	3 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Bristol City	2 - 1	Win
Apr 22, 26	Home	Preston	2 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Swansea has a 35.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.21 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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