Championship
Match Analysis
Swansea
Norwich
Swansea
W
W
L
D
W
W
Norwich
L
L
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Swansea with a 45% probability, suggesting that despite Norwich having a modest quality edge, Swansea's strong recent form and historical dominance in meetings between the two teams tilt the balance in their favor. The market odds imply a lower likelihood of a Swansea win than the model suggests, as they price the home side at odds that reflect less confidence. The model also sees a high chance (58%) that both teams will score and favors over 2.5 goals (56%), aligning with the recent trend of high-scoring games between these sides, though the market is slightly more cautious on these points.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | Swansea | 1 - 1 | April 25, 2026 |
| Swansea | Norwich | 2 - 1 | October 25, 2025 |
| Norwich | Swansea | 5 - 1 | January 25, 2025 |
| Swansea | Norwich | 1 - 0 | September 14, 2024 |
| Norwich | Swansea | 2 - 2 | April 27, 2024 |
| Swansea | Norwich | 2 - 1 | October 4, 2023 |
Swansea Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Lincoln | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Burnley | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Southampton | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 1, 26 | Home | Watford | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Derby | 0 - 3 | Win |
Norwich Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Bolton | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Sep 17, 26 | Away | Manchester City | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Middlesbrough | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | Birmingham | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Stoke City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.31% likelihood that both Swansea and Norwich will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Swansea to win
This prediction indicates that Swansea has a 44.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.54 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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