Championship
Match Analysis
Swansea
Watford
Swansea
W
L
W
L
W
L
Watford
W
W
L
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Swansea | 0 - 2 | January 31, 2026 |
| Swansea | Watford | 1 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| Watford | Swansea | 1 - 0 | March 12, 2025 |
| Swansea | Watford | 1 - 0 | November 5, 2024 |
| Watford | Swansea | 1 - 1 | March 6, 2024 |
| Swansea | Watford | 0 - 1 | October 24, 2023 |
Swansea Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Stoke City | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Birmingham | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Leganes | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Merthyr Town | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Udinese | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | VfL Bochum | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Watford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Southampton | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Crawley Town | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Fiorentina | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Hansa Rostock | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Barnet | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Boreham Wood | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Swansea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Swansea to win
This prediction indicates that Swansea has a 47.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.03 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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