Sweden vs Poland Monday 28th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

UEFA Nations League

Sweden

Sept. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Poland

Match Analysis

Sweden Poland

Sweden L D L W D L

Poland D L W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Poland	Sweden	2 - 0	March 29, 2022
Sweden	Poland	3 - 2	June 23, 2021

Sweden Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 30, 26	Away	France	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 25, 26	Away	Japan	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Netherlands	5 - 1	Loss
Jun 15, 26	Home	Tunisia	5 - 1	Win
Jun 4, 26	Home	Greece	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Away	Norway	3 - 1	Loss

Poland Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 3, 26	Home	Nigeria	2 - 2	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Ukraine	0 - 2	Loss
Mar 26, 26	Home	Albania	2 - 1	Win
Nov 17, 25	Away	Malta	2 - 3	Win
Nov 14, 25	Home	Netherlands	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 12, 25	Away	Lithuania	0 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.27% likelihood that both Sweden and Poland will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Sweden to win

This prediction indicates that Sweden has a 43.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.02 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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