League Two
Match Analysis
Swindon Town
Port Vale
Swindon Town
D
L
W
W
L
L
Port Vale
L
L
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | Port Vale | 3 - 3 | February 8, 2025 |
| Port Vale | Swindon Town | 2 - 1 | September 28, 2024 |
| Port Vale | Swindon Town | 1 - 0 | May 19, 2022 |
| Swindon Town | Port Vale | 2 - 1 | May 15, 2022 |
| Port Vale | Swindon Town | 1 - 3 | January 15, 2022 |
| Swindon Town | Port Vale | 1 - 2 | September 11, 2021 |
Swindon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Northampton | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Cardiff | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Forest Green | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Leyton Orient | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Bristol City | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 5 - 1 | Loss |
Port Vale Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Oldham | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Wolves | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Blackpool | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Real Murcia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Wigan | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Tamworth | 5 - 0 | Win |
League Two Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Swindon Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Swindon Town to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Swindon Town has a 38.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.44 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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