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Serie D logo

Serie D

July 17, 2026 2 days, 15 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

São Luiz CSA
São Luiz W L D D W D
CSA W L W D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

São Luiz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Home Velo Clube 2 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Velo Clube 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Blumenau 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home Blumenau 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Home Joinville 3 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Away Cascavel 0 - 0 Draw

CSA Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 13, 26 Home Ipatinga 4 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Ipatinga 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Lagarto 2 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Lagarto 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Juazeirense 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Atlético Alagoinhas 1 - 7 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
27 São Luiz 14 5 5 4 16 14 +2 20
53 CSA 13 4 3 6 17 22 -5 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.6% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
São Luiz to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that São Luiz has a 38.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.36 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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