Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II Monday 06th July 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Tacoma Defiance Portland Timbers II

Tacoma Defiance W W L W W L

Portland Timbers II L W L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Portland Timbers II	Tacoma Defiance	1 - 0	May 31, 2026
Portland Timbers II	Tacoma Defiance	2 - 1	August 25, 2025
Tacoma Defiance	Portland Timbers II	1 - 2	July 28, 2025
Portland Timbers II	Tacoma Defiance	2 - 1	May 19, 2025
Tacoma Defiance	Portland Timbers II	5 - 2	September 9, 2024
Tacoma Defiance	Portland Timbers II	1 - 0	July 1, 2024

Tacoma Defiance Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 22, 26	Home	Real Monarchs	1 - 0	Win
Jun 18, 26	Home	Houston Dynamo FC II	2 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Portland Timbers II	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	LA Galaxy II	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Whitecaps II	0 - 2	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Austin II	3 - 0	Loss

Portland Timbers II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	San Jose Earthquakes II	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Colorado Rapids II	0 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Real Monarchs	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Whitecaps II	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Tacoma Defiance	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Houston Dynamo FC II	0 - 3	Loss

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Portland Timbers II	16	8	4	4	21	22	-1	28
21	Tacoma Defiance	15	5	3	7	16	20	-4	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.3% likelihood that both Tacoma Defiance and Portland Timbers II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Portland Timbers II to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Portland Timbers II has a 37.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.04 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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