MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Tacoma Defiance
Portland Timbers II
Tacoma Defiance
W
L
W
L
L
W
Portland Timbers II
W
D
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers II | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| Portland Timbers II | Tacoma Defiance | 1 - 0 | May 31, 2026 |
| Portland Timbers II | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 1 | August 25, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2025 |
| Portland Timbers II | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 1 | May 19, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers II | 5 - 2 | September 9, 2024 |
Tacoma Defiance Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Real Monarchs | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Swope Park Rangers | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Los Angeles II | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | North Texas | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Whitecaps II | 4 - 2 | Win |
Portland Timbers II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Austin II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | LA Galaxy II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | North Texas | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Los Angeles II | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Real Monarchs | 1 - 0 | Win |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 27 | +8 | 49 |
| 19 | Tacoma Defiance | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.72% likelihood that both Tacoma Defiance and Portland Timbers II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Tacoma Defiance or Portland Timbers II to win
This prediction indicates that Portland Timbers II has a 42.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.02 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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