MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Tacoma Defiance
Real Monarchs
Tacoma Defiance
W
L
W
W
L
D
Real Monarchs
W
L
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs | Tacoma Defiance | 3 - 0 | September 1, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Real Monarchs | 2 - 2 | July 18, 2025 |
| Real Monarchs | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 1 | June 12, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Real Monarchs | 1 - 1 | September 14, 2024 |
| Real Monarchs | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 1 | August 12, 2024 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Real Monarchs | 3 - 0 | June 27, 2024 |
Tacoma Defiance Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo FC II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | LA Galaxy II | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Whitecaps II | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Austin II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 4, 26 | Away | Swope Park Rangers | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Real Monarchs Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 8, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Swope Park Rangers | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Whitecaps II | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids II | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Real Monarchs | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 18 |
| 24 | Tacoma Defiance | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.2% likelihood that both Tacoma Defiance and Real Monarchs will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Real Monarchs to win
This prediction indicates that Real Monarchs has a 40.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.28 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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