MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Tacoma Defiance
Swope Park Rangers
Tacoma Defiance
L
W
W
W
W
L
Swope Park Rangers
W
L
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swope Park Rangers | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Swope Park Rangers | Tacoma Defiance | 1 - 4 | April 23, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Swope Park Rangers | 4 - 3 | July 8, 2024 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Swope Park Rangers | 3 - 1 | August 10, 2023 |
| Swope Park Rangers | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 2 | June 16, 2023 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Swope Park Rangers | 1 - 0 | August 21, 2022 |
Tacoma Defiance Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | North Texas | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Whitecaps II | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Real Monarchs | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Swope Park Rangers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo FC II | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 22, 26 | Away | Austin II | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 9, 26 | Home | Minnesota United II | 4 - 3 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Real Monarchs | 1 - 3 | Win |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tacoma Defiance | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 31 |
| 26 | Swope Park Rangers | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 18 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.6% likelihood that both Tacoma Defiance and Swope Park Rangers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Tacoma Defiance to win
This prediction indicates that Tacoma Defiance has a 56.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.10 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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