Tacuarembo vs CA River Plate Saturday 01st August 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Tacuarembo CA River Plate

Tacuarembo L L D L W L

CA River Plate D W W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tacuarembo	CA River Plate	1 - 3	April 26, 2015
CA River Plate	Tacuarembo	2 - 2	October 19, 2014

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Plaza Colonia	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 13, 26	Away	La Luz	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Cerrito	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Atenas	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Paysandu	1 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Sportivo Huracan	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Uruguay Montevideo	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Plaza Colonia	3 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Oriental	1 - 2	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	La Luz	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Colón	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Cerrito	6 - 4	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	CA River Plate	17	6	4	7	24	30	-6	22
14	Tacuarembo	17	4	5	8	13	21	-8	17

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Tacuarembo has a 34.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.69 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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