Segunda División
Match Analysis
Tacuarembo
CA River Plate
Tacuarembo
L
L
D
L
W
L
CA River Plate
D
W
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
CA River Plate are favored to win this Segunda División clash thanks to a modest quality edge, better recent form, and a notable rest advantage over Tacuarembo. However, the model gives them only a 35% chance of victory, reflecting uncertainty typical of lower-division football and the limited history between these sides. The prediction leans toward a low-scoring result—under 2.5 goals is favored at 60%—despite CA River Plate's recent defensive struggles, suggesting Tacuarembo's poor form may keep them from creating much of their own.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tacuarembo | CA River Plate | 1 - 3 | April 26, 2015 |
| CA River Plate | Tacuarembo | 2 - 2 | October 19, 2014 |
Tacuarembo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Plaza Colonia | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | La Luz | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Cerrito | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Atenas | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Paysandu | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Sportivo Huracan | 2 - 1 | Loss |
CA River Plate Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Uruguay Montevideo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Plaza Colonia | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Oriental | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | La Luz | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Colón | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Cerrito | 6 - 4 | Win |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | CA River Plate | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 14 | Tacuarembo | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 17 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Tacuarembo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Tacuarembo has a 34.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.69 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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