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Segunda División logo

Segunda División

July 5, 2026 5 days, 23 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Tacuarembo Cerrito
Tacuarembo L W L W L W
Cerrito W L L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tacuarembo Cerrito 1 - 1 March 29, 2026
Cerrito Tacuarembo 1 - 1 August 24, 2025
Tacuarembo Cerrito 2 - 0 June 3, 2025
Cerrito Tacuarembo 3 - 1 November 16, 2024
Tacuarembo Cerrito 0 - 2 July 27, 2024
Tacuarembo Cerrito 0 - 1 November 26, 2023

Tacuarembo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Atenas 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Paysandu 1 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Sportivo Huracan 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Uruguay Montevideo 1 - 0 Win
Jun 1, 26 Away Oriental 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Colón 2 - 0 Win

Cerrito Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Home Plaza Colonia 1 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away La Luz 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away CA River Plate 6 - 4 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Atenas 2 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Away Paysandu 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Sportivo Huracan 2 - 0 Win

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Cerrito 13 5 5 3 21 21 0 20
12 Tacuarembo 14 4 4 6 13 17 -4 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Tacuarembo will score 0 goals, and Cerrito will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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