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Segunda División logo

Segunda División

June 8, 2026
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Tacuarembo Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo L W W D D L
Uruguay Montevideo W L D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Uruguay Montevideo Tacuarembo 1 - 1 April 26, 2026
Uruguay Montevideo Tacuarembo 0 - 0 October 25, 2025
Tacuarembo Uruguay Montevideo 2 - 0 August 3, 2025
Tacuarembo Uruguay Montevideo 0 - 0 September 25, 2024
Uruguay Montevideo Tacuarembo 1 - 0 June 10, 2024
Tacuarembo Uruguay Montevideo 1 - 3 April 7, 2024

Tacuarembo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Away Oriental 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Colón 2 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Fenix 1 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Home Rentistas 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Uruguay Montevideo 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Away Atenas 1 - 0 Loss

Uruguay Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Plaza Colonia 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away La Luz 2 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Cerrito 2 - 2 Draw
May 8, 26 Away Atenas 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Tacuarembo 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 11, 26 Away La Luz 0 - 2 Win

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Uruguay Montevideo 10 3 4 3 12 11 +1 13
12 Tacuarembo 10 2 4 4 10 13 -3 10

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Tacuarembo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Tacuarembo has a 42.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.86 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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