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USL Championship logo

USL Championship

June 11, 2026 2 weeks, 5 days ago
2 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies Charleston Battery
Tampa Bay Rowdies W W W D W D
Charleston Battery W L W L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Charleston Battery Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 1 April 18, 2026
Tampa Bay Rowdies Charleston Battery 1 - 3 May 10, 2025
Charleston Battery Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 1 April 5, 2025
Charleston Battery Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 1 November 10, 2024
Charleston Battery Tampa Bay Rowdies 3 - 1 September 21, 2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies Charleston Battery 4 - 2 July 27, 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Louisville City 0 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Home Phoenix Rising 3 - 0 Win
May 21, 26 Away New Mexico United 0 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Rhode Island 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Indy Eleven 1 - 0 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Charleston Battery 1 - 1 Draw

Charleston Battery Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Detroit City 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away New Mexico United 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Sporting JAX 4 - 0 Win
Apr 22, 26 Away Rhode Island 4 - 0 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Home Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 11, 26 Away Brooklyn 3 - 0 Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 11 8 3 0 19 5 +14 27
10 Charleston Battery 10 5 1 4 14 13 +1 16

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.58% likelihood that both Tampa Bay Rowdies and Charleston Battery will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win
This prediction indicates that Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 45.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.45 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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