Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Sunday 14th June 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Tampa Bay Rowdies Hartford Athletic

Tampa Bay Rowdies D W W W D W

Hartford Athletic D L W D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tampa Bay Rowdies	Hartford Athletic	3 - 2	October 18, 2025
Hartford Athletic	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	July 16, 2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies	Hartford Athletic	2 - 2	October 23, 2024
Hartford Athletic	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	June 21, 2024
Hartford Athletic	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 2	September 27, 2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies	Hartford Athletic	2 - 1	September 2, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Louisville City	0 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	3 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	New Mexico United	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Rhode Island	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	New Mexico United	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	FC Tulsa	2 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Detroit City	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Loudoun United	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	0 - 4	Loss
Apr 4, 26	Away	Miami FC	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	12	8	4	0	21	7	+14	28
15	Hartford Athletic	10	3	5	2	9	10	-1	14

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 53.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.27 %

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