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USL Championship

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies Hartford Athletic
Tampa Bay Rowdies D W W W D W
Hartford Athletic D L W D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tampa Bay Rowdies Hartford Athletic 3 - 2 October 18, 2025
Hartford Athletic Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 1 July 16, 2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies Hartford Athletic 2 - 2 October 23, 2024
Hartford Athletic Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 1 June 21, 2024
Hartford Athletic Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 2 September 27, 2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies Hartford Athletic 2 - 1 September 2, 2023

Tampa Bay Rowdies Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 10, 26 Home Charleston Battery 2 - 2 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Louisville City 0 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Home Phoenix Rising 3 - 0 Win
May 21, 26 Away New Mexico United 0 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Rhode Island 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Indy Eleven 1 - 0 Win

Hartford Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home New Mexico United 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Away FC Tulsa 2 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Detroit City 2 - 1 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Loudoun United 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 11, 26 Home El Paso Locomotive 0 - 4 Loss
Apr 4, 26 Away Miami FC 0 - 0 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 12 8 4 0 21 7 +14 28
15 Hartford Athletic 10 3 5 2 9 10 -1 14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win
This prediction indicates that Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 53.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.27 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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