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Ykkönen

July 10, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Tampere United SalPa
Tampere United W W W W W W
SalPa D W L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
SalPa Tampere United 2 - 0 April 11, 2026
SalPa Tampere United 3 - 0 April 1, 2023

Tampere United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 25, 26 Away FC jazz 0 - 1 Win
Jun 11, 26 Home OLS 3 - 0 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Rops 0 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Away TPV 0 - 3 Win
May 22, 26 Home JJK 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away KPV-j 0 - 6 Win

SalPa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Rops 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Home KuPS Akatemia 4 - 3 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away OLS 5 - 0 Loss
May 28, 26 Away FC jazz 1 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Home TPV 4 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Away JJK 2 - 2 Draw

Ykkönen Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tampere United 12 9 1 2 25 6 +19 28
5 SalPa 12 5 4 3 26 22 +4 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.37% likelihood that both Tampere United and SalPa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tampere United to win
This prediction indicates that Tampere United has a 52.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.95 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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