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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Tanzania Guinea-Bissau
Tanzania L D D L L L
Guinea-Bissau D L L L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Tanzania Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jan 4, 26 Away Morocco 1 - 0 Loss
Dec 30, 25 Home Tunisia 1 - 1 Draw
Dec 27, 25 Away Uganda 1 - 1 Draw
Dec 23, 25 Away Nigeria 2 - 1 Loss
Nov 15, 25 Away Kuwait 4 - 3 Loss
Oct 14, 25 Away Iran 2 - 0 Loss

Guinea-Bissau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Mar 31, 26 Away Burkina Faso 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 28, 26 Away Burkina Faso 5 - 0 Loss
Oct 12, 25 Away Egypt 1 - 0 Loss
Oct 8, 25 Away Ethiopia 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 8, 25 Home Djibouti 2 - 0 Win
Sep 4, 25 Home Sierra Leone 1 - 1 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Tanzania to win
This prediction indicates that Tanzania has a 43.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.91 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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