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Úrvalsdeild

Aug. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Thor Akureyri Breidablik
Thor Akureyri W L D L D L
Breidablik D W W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Breidablik Thor Akureyri 4 - 0 April 27, 2026

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Home Vikingur Reykjavik 2 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Fram Reykjavik 6 - 1 Loss
Jul 2, 26 Home KR Reykjavik 3 - 3 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 4 Loss

Breidablik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 20, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 13, 26 Home Keflavik 2 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away IA Akranes 1 - 2 Win
Jun 25, 26 Home Vikingur Reykjavik 1 - 4 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home KA Akureyri 3 - 1 Win
Jun 16, 26 Away Stjarnan 4 - 4 Draw

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Breidablik 14 7 4 3 34 26 +8 25
12 Thor Akureyri 15 3 2 10 17 42 -25 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.51% likelihood that both Thor Akureyri and Breidablik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Breidablik to win
This prediction indicates that Breidablik has a 63.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.45 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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