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Úrvalsdeild

June 28, 2026 1 day, 5 hours ago
2 – 4
Full Time

Match Analysis

Thor Akureyri Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri D L L L L L
Valur Reykjavik D L L L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Valur Reykjavik Thor Akureyri 1 - 2 April 12, 2026

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 4 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Stjarnan 1 - 3 Loss
May 22, 26 Away Keflavik 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home IA Akranes 1 - 2 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Vikingur Reykjavik 6 - 0 Loss

Valur Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Keflavik 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 16, 26 Away IA Akranes 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Vikingur Reykjavik 1 - 5 Loss
May 26, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 3 - 1 Loss
May 22, 26 Away KA Akureyri 0 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Breidablik 3 - 2 Win

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Valur Reykjavik 12 4 1 7 17 27 -10 13
12 Thor Akureyri 11 2 1 8 9 28 -19 7

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.55% likelihood that both Thor Akureyri and Valur Reykjavik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Thor Akureyri or Valur Reykjavik to win
This prediction indicates that Valur Reykjavik has a 38.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.17 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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