Tigres FC vs Atletico Nacional Wednesday 29th July 2026 04:30 AM football predictions.

Tigres FC Atletico Nacional

Tigres FC L L L W W D

Atletico Nacional W L W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tigres FC	Atletico Nacional	1 - 0	November 13, 2017
Atletico Nacional	Tigres FC	0 - 0	May 12, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 6, 25	Home	America de Cali	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 30, 25	Away	America de Cali	5 - 0	Loss
May 16, 24	Away	Jaguares	3 - 0	Loss
May 10, 24	Home	Jaguares	5 - 3	Win
Apr 24, 24	Home	Cucuta	1 - 0	Win
Apr 9, 24	Away	Cucuta	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 8, 26	Home	Junior	1 - 0	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Junior	3 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Deportes Tolima	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Deportes Tolima	0 - 1	Win
May 12, 26	Home	La Equidad	7 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	La Equidad	1 - 2	Win

This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 56.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.20 %

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