Tigres UANL vs Puebla Sunday 27th September 2026 04:00 AM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Liga MX

Sept. 27, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Tigres UANL Puebla
Tigres UANL D D W L L D
Puebla W L W W D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Puebla Tigres UANL 3 - 1 March 5, 2026
Tigres UANL Puebla 7 - 0 August 9, 2025
Puebla Tigres UANL 0 - 0 April 5, 2025
Tigres UANL Puebla 1 - 0 October 5, 2024
Puebla Tigres UANL 2 - 3 March 30, 2024
Tigres UANL Puebla 3 - 0 December 4, 2023

Tigres UANL Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 6, 26 Home Necaxa 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 30, 26 Away Santos Laguna 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Atlante FC 2 - 0 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Atlas 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Club Queretaro 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Atletico San Luis 2 - 2 Draw

Puebla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 12, 26 Away Necaxa 0 - 1 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away Club America 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Santos Laguna 3 - 2 Win
Aug 18, 26 Away Pachuca 2 - 3 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Away Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Loss

Liga MX Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Puebla 6 3 1 2 9 9 0 10
15 Tigres UANL 7 1 3 3 9 11 -2 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.21% likelihood that both Tigres UANL and Puebla will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tigres UANL to win
This prediction indicates that Tigres UANL has a 59.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.83 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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