1st League - FBiH
Match Analysis
TOŠK Tešanj
Zvijezda Gradačac
TOŠK Tešanj
L
D
W
D
L
D
Zvijezda Gradačac
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match between TOŠK Tešanj and Zvijezda Gradačac shows a modest quality edge favoring Zvijezda Gradačac, but both teams are in poor recent form. TOŠK Tešanj also have a rest advantage, which could help them perform better despite their recent struggles. The model predicts a home win with a 38% probability and expects both teams to score, with a 53% chance, along with over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, each at around 55% probability. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's predictions stand on their own assessment of the qualitative factors provided.
TOŠK Tešanj Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Sloboda Tuzla | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Tomislav | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Travnik | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | GOŠK Gabela | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Čelik | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Radnik Hadžići | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Zvijezda Gradačac Form (Last 3 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Zvijezda 09 | 0 - 6 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Čelik | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 21, 22 | Home | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 4 - 3 | Win |
1st League - FBiH Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zvijezda Gradačac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | TOŠK Tešanj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.52% likelihood that both TOŠK Tešanj and Zvijezda Gradačac will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
TOŠK Tešanj to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that TOŠK Tešanj has a 37.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.95 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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