J2 League
Match Analysis
Tochigi City
Vegalta Sendai
Tochigi City
L
W
W
W
L
L
Vegalta Sendai
W
W
L
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegalta Sendai | Tochigi City | 1 - 2 | August 26, 2026 |
| Vegalta Sendai | Tochigi City | 5 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Tochigi City | Vegalta Sendai | 1 - 4 | February 7, 2026 |
Tochigi City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Jubilo Iwata | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Vegalta Sendai | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Sagan Tosu | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Vanraure Hachinohe | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Montedio Yamagata | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Cerezo Osaka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Vegalta Sendai Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Shonan Bellmare | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Tochigi City | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Vanraure Hachinohe | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Oita Trinita | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Fujieda MYFC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
J2 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vegalta Sendai | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 40 | 20 | +20 | 49 |
| 23 | Tochigi City | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 29 |
Predictions
Vegalta Sendai to win
This prediction indicates that Vegalta Sendai has a 43.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.64 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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