Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu Sunday 07th June 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

Tochigi SC Kitakyushu

Tochigi SC D D L D L D

Kitakyushu L L L D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tochigi SC	Kitakyushu	0 - 1	October 5, 2025
Kitakyushu	Tochigi SC	0 - 0	May 3, 2025
Kitakyushu	Tochigi SC	1 - 2	November 28, 2021
Tochigi SC	Kitakyushu	1 - 2	May 5, 2021
Kitakyushu	Tochigi SC	1 - 0	November 15, 2020
Tochigi SC	Kitakyushu	2 - 2	September 2, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Parceiro Nagano	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Vanraure Hachinohe	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Yokohama FC	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Blaublitz Akita	0 - 0	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Vegalta Sendai	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Montedio Yamagata	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Kamatamare Sanuki	3 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Kagoshima United	1 - 5	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Biwako Shiga	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Gainare Tottori	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Roasso Kumamoto	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Oita Trinita	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
36	Tochigi SC	19	4	6	9	23	28	-5	18
40	Kitakyushu	19	4	3	12	18	35	-17	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Tochigi SC has a 41.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.15 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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