TOGB vs Katwijk Tuesday 01st September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

KNVB Beker

Sept. 1, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

TOGB Katwijk

TOGB L L L L D L

Katwijk D L D L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Katwijk	TOGB	1 - 2	August 8, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	FC Lisse	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Excelsior Maassluis	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 3, 25	Home	UDI '19	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 4, 24	Home	Noordwijk	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 30, 24	Away	Excelsior Maassluis	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 12, 23	Away	Ijsselmeervogels	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Sparta Rotterdam II	1 - 1	Draw
Dec 16, 25	Away	Den Bosch	2 - 1	Loss
Oct 28, 25	Home	Vitesse	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 9, 25	Home	Zwaluwen	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 5, 25	Home	Sportlust '46	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 26, 25	Home	Koninklijke HFC	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Katwijk has a 45.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.34 %

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