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J2 League

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Tokushima Vortis Iwaki
Tokushima Vortis W D D L L L
Iwaki D D D L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tokushima Vortis Iwaki 0 - 1 October 26, 2025
Iwaki Tokushima Vortis 1 - 1 March 2, 2025
Tokushima Vortis Iwaki 0 - 1 September 22, 2024
Iwaki Tokushima Vortis 1 - 1 May 26, 2024
Tokushima Vortis Iwaki 2 - 0 September 10, 2023
Tokushima Vortis Iwaki 1 - 1 June 7, 2023

Tokushima Vortis Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 3 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Imabari 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Kataller Toyama 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Nara Club 1 - 2 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Ehime FC 0 - 6 Loss

Iwaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Shonan Bellmare 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Fujieda MYFC 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Ventforet Kofu 0 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Omiya Ardija 3 - 2 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Jubilo Iwata 1 - 1 Draw

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Tokushima Vortis 19 10 3 6 39 23 +16 33
19 Iwaki 19 7 7 5 23 19 +4 28

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Tokushima Vortis to win
This prediction indicates that Tokushima Vortis has a 44.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.09 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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