Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma Wednesday 26th August 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

Emperor Cup

Aug. 26, 2026 5 days, 5 hours from now VS

Tokyo Verdy Thespakusatsu Gunma

Tokyo Verdy L D L D L W

Thespakusatsu Gunma W L L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Thespakusatsu Gunma	Tokyo Verdy	0 - 0	October 1, 2023
Tokyo Verdy	Thespakusatsu Gunma	2 - 2	June 18, 2023
Tokyo Verdy	Thespakusatsu Gunma	2 - 1	June 7, 2023
Tokyo Verdy	Thespakusatsu Gunma	1 - 1	September 10, 2022
Thespakusatsu Gunma	Tokyo Verdy	0 - 1	March 13, 2022
Thespakusatsu Gunma	Tokyo Verdy	2 - 2	July 11, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Home	Kashiwa Reysol	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Home	Kawasaki Frontale	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Gamba Osaka	2 - 4	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Gamba Osaka	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Yokohama F. Marinos	0 - 6	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Mito Hollyhock	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 19, 26	Away	Tohoku Gakuin University	1 - 3	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Sagamihara	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Kagoshima United	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Away	Kanazawa	4 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	FC Gifu	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Sagamihara	7 - 2	Win

This prediction indicates that Tokyo Verdy has a 50.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.22 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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