Liga MX
Match Analysis
Toluca
Santos Laguna
Toluca
W
W
D
W
L
W
Santos Laguna
D
L
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | Santos Laguna | 3 - 1 | January 15, 2026 |
| Santos Laguna | Toluca | 2 - 4 | July 17, 2025 |
| Toluca | Santos Laguna | 2 - 1 | April 7, 2025 |
| Santos Laguna | Toluca | 2 - 0 | September 23, 2024 |
| Toluca | Santos Laguna | 1 - 0 | February 22, 2024 |
| Santos Laguna | Toluca | 3 - 1 | November 6, 2023 |
Toluca Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | FC Juarez | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Club Queretaro | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Atlante FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Necaxa | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Guadalajara Chivas | 0 - 2 | Win |
Santos Laguna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Tigres UANL | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Puebla | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Guadalajara Chivas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Club America | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Atlas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Monterrey | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Liga MX Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 13 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Toluca to win
This prediction indicates that Toluca has a 77.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 12.52 %Most Likely Scorelines
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