Tombense vs Vitória ES Sunday 14th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Tombense Vitória ES

Tombense W D W D D L

Vitória ES D W D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vitória ES	Tombense	0 - 1	April 4, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Porto BA	1 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Real Noroeste	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Democrata GV	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Rio Branco ES	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Rio Branco ES	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Democrata GV	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	Real Noroeste	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Rio Branco ES	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Porto BA	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Democrata GV	2 - 1	Win
May 4, 26	Away	Democrata GV	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Porto BA	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
22	Tombense	9	4	4	1	13	6	+7	16
38	Vitória ES	9	4	2	3	12	8	+4	14

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Tombense has a 40.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.68 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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