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Friendlies Clubs

Aug. 7, 2026 2 days, 11 hours ago
3 – 1
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Match Analysis

Tomislav Posušje
Tomislav L W D W L D
Posušje L L L L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Tomislav have shown moderate recent form going into the match, while Posušje have struggled recently. Despite Posušje having a rest advantage and a modest quality edge, their defensive vulnerabilities are a concern. The model predicts a home win with a 41% probability, which aligns with the teams' recent form but contrasts with Posušje's quality edge and rest benefit. Additionally, the model sees a 49% chance that both teams will **not** score, suggesting a possible defensive focus in this encounter.

Tomislav Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Siroki Brijeg 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Tuzla City 4 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away TOŠK Tešanj 3 - 3 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Vitez 3 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Jedinstvo Bihać 3 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Stupčanica Olovo 1 - 1 Draw

Posušje Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Away Solin 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Zrinjski 3 - 1 Loss
May 26, 26 Away Borac Banja Luka 2 - 0 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Sloga Doboj 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Zrinjski 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Velež 1 - 1 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Tomislav to win
This prediction indicates that Tomislav has a 41.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.29 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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