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Erovnuli Liga logo

Erovnuli Liga

Aug. 15, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi L L D L L L
Saburtalo D L D W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Saburtalo Torpedo Kutaisi 1 - 1 May 10, 2026
Torpedo Kutaisi Saburtalo 1 - 0 March 11, 2026
Torpedo Kutaisi Saburtalo 3 - 1 October 21, 2025
Saburtalo Torpedo Kutaisi 0 - 0 August 9, 2025
Torpedo Kutaisi Saburtalo 0 - 1 April 28, 2025
Saburtalo Torpedo Kutaisi 2 - 0 March 5, 2025

Torpedo Kutaisi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Home Zira 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 8, 26 Away Zira 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 22, 26 Home Spaeri 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Samgurali 2 - 1 Loss
May 28, 26 Home Gagra 1 - 2 Loss

Saburtalo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Away Slovan Bratislava 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Home Slovan Bratislava 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 8, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 2 - 3 Win
Jun 23, 26 Home Meshakhte 2 - 1 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home Rustavi 1 - 2 Loss

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Saburtalo 19 10 4 5 27 18 +9 34
4 Torpedo Kutaisi 19 7 6 6 30 19 +11 27

Predictions

Torpedo Kutaisi or Saburtalo to win
This prediction indicates that Saburtalo has a 38.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.75 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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