First League
Match Analysis
Torpedo Moskva
PFC Sochi
Torpedo Moskva
L
D
W
W
W
W
PFC Sochi
L
W
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Torpedo Moskva have shown strong recent form, while PFC Sochi have struggled with poor recent form. Despite recent meetings between these sides being fairly even and high-scoring, the model sees a clear quality gap favoring Torpedo Moskva at home. The model predicts a home win with a 37% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects goals from both sides, predicting 'both teams to score' with a 53% probability and favoring 'over 1.5 goals' with a 59% probability, aligning with the high-scoring trend from their past encounters.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFC Sochi | Torpedo Moskva | 0 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| PFC Sochi | Torpedo Moskva | 3 - 1 | May 3, 2026 |
| PFC Sochi | Torpedo Moskva | 0 - 1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Torpedo Moskva | PFC Sochi | 2 - 2 | September 29, 2024 |
| PFC Sochi | Torpedo Moskva | 3 - 1 | April 30, 2023 |
| Torpedo Moskva | PFC Sochi | 1 - 1 | November 22, 2022 |
Torpedo Moskva Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Arsenal Tula | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Volga Ulyanovsk | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Ural | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | PFC Sochi | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Dynamo | 0 - 2 | Win |
PFC Sochi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Leningradets | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Arsenal Tula | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Spartak Kostroma | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Torpedo Moskva | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Ska-khabarovsk | 4 - 2 | Win |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 13 | PFC Sochi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 4 |
Predictions
Torpedo Moskva to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Torpedo Moskva has a 37.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.93 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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