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Meistriliiga

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Trans Narva Nõmme United
Trans Narva L W L L L L
Nõmme United L L L L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Nõmme United Trans Narva 5 - 1 April 11, 2026
Trans Narva Nõmme United 3 - 4 January 24, 2026
Nõmme United Trans Narva 0 - 4 September 21, 2024
Trans Narva Nõmme United 2 - 1 July 26, 2024
Nõmme United Trans Narva 1 - 3 May 23, 2024
Trans Narva Nõmme United 2 - 0 March 30, 2024

Trans Narva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Laagri 3 - 0 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Paide 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 0 - 3 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Vaprus 2 - 0 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 0 - 3 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 7 - 0 Loss

Nõmme United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 0 - 4 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Kuressaare 2 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Away Tammeka 3 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Paide 2 - 3 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Vaprus 2 - 3 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Kuressaare 2 - 1 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Nõmme United 14 4 1 9 27 36 -9 13
10 Trans Narva 14 3 0 11 10 37 -27 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.5% likelihood that both Trans Narva and Nõmme United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Trans Narva to win
This prediction indicates that Trans Narva has a 54.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.53 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 79.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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