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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Trem Águia de Marabá
Trem L W W L W W
Águia de Marabá W W L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Águia de Marabá Trem 1 - 1 April 4, 2026
Trem Águia de Marabá 2 - 1 June 14, 2025
Águia de Marabá Trem 0 - 2 May 24, 2025
Águia de Marabá Trem 0 - 0 June 14, 2023
Trem Águia de Marabá 0 - 1 June 11, 2023

Trem Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Tuna Luso 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Tocantinópolis 4 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Oratório 4 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Away Imperatriz 4 - 0 Loss
May 4, 26 Home Imperatriz 2 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Oratório 0 - 2 Win

Águia de Marabá Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Tocantinópolis 3 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Away Imperatriz 0 - 3 Win
May 17, 26 Away Tuna Luso 2 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Oratório 5 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Away Oratório 1 - 2 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Tuna Luso 2 - 0 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Águia de Marabá 9 5 3 1 20 9 +11 18
15 Trem 9 5 2 2 17 13 +4 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.1% likelihood that both Trem and Águia de Marabá will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Águia de Marabá to win
This prediction indicates that Águia de Marabá has a 41.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.42 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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