Trikala vs Larisa Tuesday 11th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Trikala Larisa

Trikala L W L L L L

Larisa L W D D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Larisa	Trikala	3 - 0	May 1, 2022
Trikala	Larisa	0 - 1	February 6, 2022
Trikala	Larisa	0 - 1	August 26, 2020
Trikala	Larisa	1 - 0	December 14, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 24	Home	Panargiakos	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 8, 24	Home	Thyella Patras	2 - 1	Win
May 1, 22	Away	Larisa	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 16, 22	Home	PAOK II	0 - 6	Loss
Apr 13, 22	Away	Olympiakos Volos	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 10, 22	Home	Niki Volos	0 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 21, 26	Away	Kifisia	3 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Atromitos	2 - 1	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Panetolikos	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Asteras Tripolis	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Panserraikos	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Panserraikos	0 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Larisa has a 62.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.45 %

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