Trofense vs Leça Saturday 12th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Liga 3

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Trofense Leça

Trofense W L L D L D

Leça W L D D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Home	São João Ver	1 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Vianense	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Home	Varzim	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	AVS	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Academica	3 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Guimaraes B	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 23, 26	Away	Paredes	1 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Guimaraes B	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Home	São João Ver	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 29, 26	Away	Lusitânia Lourosa	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Away	Santa Clara	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 10, 26	Home	Vitória de Sernache	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Trofense	3	1	0	2	1	3	-2	3
15	Leça	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Trofense has a 47.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.29 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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