Trofense vs Varzim Sunday 09th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Trofense Varzim

Trofense L D D L L W

Varzim L D L L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Trofense	Varzim	0 - 1	April 18, 2026
Varzim	Trofense	2 - 0	February 21, 2026
Varzim	Trofense	0 - 1	December 20, 2025
Trofense	Varzim	2 - 1	October 11, 2025
Trofense	Varzim	5 - 1	August 30, 2025
Varzim	Trofense	2 - 1	January 18, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Academica	3 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Guimaraes B	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Amarante	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Mafra	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Varzim	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	União Santarém	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	Tondela	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	União Santarém	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	CF Os Belenenses	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Academica	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Guimaraes B	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Trofense	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Varzim	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Trofense	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Trofense has a 38.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.43 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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