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Eliteserien

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Tromso Valerenga
Tromso D D L W D L
Valerenga L D W L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Valerenga Tromso 1 - 0 October 4, 2025
Tromso Valerenga 2 - 1 May 31, 2025
Valerenga Tromso 1 - 4 March 15, 2025
Valerenga Tromso 3 - 1 March 17, 2024
Valerenga Tromso 1 - 1 December 3, 2023
Tromso Valerenga 0 - 0 July 9, 2023

Tromso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Away KFUM Oslo 0 - 0 Draw
May 25, 26 Home Aalesund 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Bodo/Glimt 5 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Molde 2 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Start 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 29, 26 Home Brann 0 - 5 Loss

Valerenga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Gais 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 18, 26 Away IFK Goteborg 1 - 1 Draw
May 29, 26 Home Kristiansund BK 3 - 1 Win
May 25, 26 Away Start 2 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Sarpsborg 08 FF 3 - 2 Win
May 8, 26 Away Ham-Kam 1 - 0 Loss

Eliteserien Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Tromso 13 7 4 2 18 14 +4 25
9 Valerenga 11 4 2 5 13 17 -4 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.69% likelihood that both Tromso and Valerenga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tromso to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Tromso has a 40.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.84 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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