TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar Saturday 03rd October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Prva Liga

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

TSC Backa Topola Grafičar

TSC Backa Topola D W W D W D

Grafičar W L L L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
TSC Backa Topola	Grafičar	2 - 1	February 1, 2023
TSC Backa Topola	Grafičar	4 - 2	July 5, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 16, 26	Away	Naftagas	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Loznica	4 - 0	Win
Sep 7, 26	Away	FK Vozdovac	2 - 3	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	Semendrija 1924	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Away	Napredak	1 - 2	Win
Aug 19, 26	Home	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Home	OFK Bor 1919	3 - 0	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	OFK Vršac	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Borac Cacak	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Dinamo Jug	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 24, 26	Away	Naftagas	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 19, 26	Home	Loznica	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	TSC Backa Topola	9	5	4	0	18	10	+8	19
16	Grafičar	8	1	1	6	8	17	-9	4

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that TSC Backa Topola has a 66.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.36 %

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