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Match Analysis

TSV 1860 München Holstein Kiel
TSV 1860 München W L L D W D
Holstein Kiel L L D W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
TSV 1860 München Holstein Kiel 1 - 3 August 19, 2018
Holstein Kiel TSV 1860 München 1 - 2 August 17, 2014

TSV 1860 München Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Away Deisenhofen 0 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Away Verl 3 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home FC Ingolstadt 04 1 - 2 Loss
May 2, 26 Away FC Schweinfurt 05 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Mostistea Ulmu 3 - 2 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away FC Saarbrücken 0 - 0 Draw

Holstein Kiel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Away 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away FSV Mainz 05 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Swansea 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 15, 26 Home Al-Ahli Jeddah 4 - 1 Win
Jul 10, 26 Home Sonderjyske 2 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home FC Fredericia 1 - 3 Loss

Predictions

Holstein Kiel to win
This prediction indicates that Holstein Kiel has a 51.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.65 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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