Virsliga
Match Analysis
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
L
L
L
L
L
W
Rīgas FS
W
W
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS | Tukums | 3 - 1 | May 25, 2026 |
| Tukums | Rīgas FS | 1 - 2 | April 13, 2026 |
| Tukums | Rīgas FS | 2 - 4 | October 19, 2025 |
| Rīgas FS | Tukums | 6 - 2 | July 26, 2025 |
| Tukums | Rīgas FS | 2 - 5 | May 25, 2025 |
| Rīgas FS | Tukums | 2 - 0 | April 9, 2025 |
Tukums Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Riga | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Grobiņa | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Super Nova | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | FS Jelgava | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Auda | 2 - 1 | Win |
Rīgas FS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Vestri | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | FS Jelgava | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Glentoran | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | Glentoran | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Auda | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | BFC Daugavpils | 3 - 1 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55 | 16 | +39 | 59 |
| 9 | Tukums | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 17 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Rīgas FS to win
This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 76.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 12.18 %Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments