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Serie D logo

Serie D

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Tuna Luso Trem
Tuna Luso D W L D L W
Trem W W L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Trem Tuna Luso 3 - 3 April 12, 2026
Trem Tuna Luso 2 - 1 July 19, 2025
Tuna Luso Trem 4 - 2 April 27, 2025
Tuna Luso Trem 1 - 0 July 22, 2023
Trem Tuna Luso 1 - 0 May 6, 2023

Tuna Luso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away Oratório 3 - 3 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Águia de Marabá 2 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Home Tocantinópolis 2 - 3 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Tocantinópolis 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Away Águia de Marabá 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Home Oratório 2 - 0 Win

Trem Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Tocantinópolis 4 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Oratório 4 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Away Imperatriz 4 - 0 Loss
May 4, 26 Home Imperatriz 2 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Oratório 0 - 2 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away Tocantinópolis 0 - 1 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Trem 8 5 2 1 17 12 +5 17
58 Tuna Luso 8 2 4 2 13 13 0 10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.63% likelihood that both Tuna Luso and Trem will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Tuna Luso to win
This prediction indicates that Tuna Luso has a 45.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.09 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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