Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Match Analysis
Tunisia
Uganda
Tunisia
L
L
L
L
L
D
Uganda
L
D
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia | Uganda | 3 - 1 | December 23, 2025 |
| Tunisia | Uganda | 2 - 0 | January 4, 2017 |
Tunisia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 26 | Home | Netherlands | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Japan | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 15, 26 | Away | Sweden | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Belgium | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 1, 26 | Away | Austria | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Mar 31, 26 | Away | Canada | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Uganda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 25 | Home | Nigeria | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Dec 27, 25 | Home | Tanzania | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Dec 23, 25 | Away | Tunisia | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Nov 18, 25 | Away | Morocco | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Nov 14, 25 | Home | Chad | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Oct 14, 25 | Away | Algeria | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Predictions
Tunisia to win
This prediction indicates that Tunisia has a 46.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.38 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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