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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Tupa Assisense
Tupa L W W W L L
Assisense D D D W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Assisense Tupa 3 - 2 April 24, 2026
Tupa Assisense 1 - 2 June 8, 2025
Assisense Tupa 2 - 3 May 2, 2025

Tupa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away José Bonifácio 2 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Away Santa FĂ© FC 1 - 3 Win
May 9, 26 Home Riopretano 2 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Home America SP 2 - 0 Win
Apr 24, 26 Away Assisense 3 - 2 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Home José Bonifácio 0 - 4 Loss

Assisense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 22, 26 Home America SP 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Riopretano 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Home José Bonifácio 2 - 2 Draw
May 1, 26 Away Santa FĂ© FC 0 - 1 Win
Apr 24, 26 Home Tupa 3 - 2 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away America SP 1 - 0 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Assisense 6 2 3 1 8 7 +1 9
11 Tupa 6 3 0 3 10 10 0 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! âś…

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.7% likelihood that both Tupa and Assisense will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tupa or Assisense to win
This prediction indicates that Tupa has a 39.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.18 %

Correct Prediction! âś…

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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