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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 28, 2026 1 day, 8 hours ago
0 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Tupa Independente SP
Tupa L W L D L W
Independente SP W L L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Tupa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Santa Fé FC 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Riopretano 0 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away America SP 3 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Assisense 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away José Bonifácio 2 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Away Santa Fé FC 1 - 3 Win

Independente SP Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Grêmio Catanduvense 17 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Sao Carlos 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Santacruzense 0 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Mogi Mirim 4 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Matonense 0 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Away Grêmio Catanduvense 0 - 4 Win

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37 7 +30 24
16 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.36% likelihood that both Tupa and Independente SP will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Independente SP to win
This prediction indicates that Independente SP has a 65.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.73 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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