Paulista Série B
Match Analysis
Tupa
Santa Fé FC
Tupa
W
L
D
L
W
W
Santa Fé FC
L
L
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fé FC | Tupa | 1 - 3 | May 15, 2026 |
Tupa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Riopretano | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | America SP | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Assisense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | José Bonifácio | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Santa Fé FC | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Riopretano | 2 - 0 | Win |
Santa Fé FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 26 | Home | America SP | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 5, 26 | Away | Assisense | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| May 29, 26 | Home | José Bonifácio | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Riopretano | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Tupa | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Away | America SP | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Paulista Série B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tupa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 22 | Santa Fé FC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.77% likelihood that both Tupa and Santa Fé FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Tupa to win
This prediction indicates that Tupa has a 48.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.14 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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