Turkmenistan vs New Zealand Thursday 24th September 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

Sept. 24, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Turkmenistan New Zealand

Turkmenistan L D L L L D

New Zealand L L D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 14, 24	Away	Kazakhstan	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 23	Away	Bahrain	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 8, 23	Away	Indonesia	2 - 0	Loss
Mar 23, 23	Away	Malaysia	1 - 0	Loss
May 27, 22	Away	Thailand	1 - 0	Loss
Oct 15, 19	Away	Kuwait	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Belgium	1 - 5	Loss
Jun 22, 26	Home	Egypt	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Away	Iran	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	England	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 3, 26	Away	Haiti	4 - 0	Loss
Nov 19, 25	Away	Ecuador	2 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Turkmenistan has a 47.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.44 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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