FKF Premier League
Match Analysis
Tusker
Homeboyz
Tusker
D
L
L
W
L
L
Homeboyz
D
D
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | Homeboyz | 2 - 0 | March 15, 2026 |
| Homeboyz | Tusker | 1 - 1 | November 2, 2025 |
| Homeboyz | Tusker | 0 - 0 | June 22, 2025 |
| Tusker | Homeboyz | 2 - 2 | September 22, 2024 |
| Tusker | Homeboyz | 1 - 0 | June 23, 2024 |
| Homeboyz | Tusker | 2 - 1 | September 16, 2023 |
Tusker Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Home | APS Bomet | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Ulinzi Stars | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Bandari | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Bidco United | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Nairobi United | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 24, 26 | Home | Mara Sugar | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Homeboyz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | Police | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Kariobangi Sharks | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | AFC Leopards | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Murang'a SEAL | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | GOR Mahia | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | KCB | 1 - 1 | Draw |
FKF Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Homeboyz | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Tusker | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Tusker to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Tusker has a 37.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.94 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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