Ettan - Södra
Match Analysis
Tvååker
Ariana
Tvååker
W
W
L
D
L
W
Ariana
L
D
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ariana | Tvååker | 0 - 1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Ariana | Tvååker | 4 - 1 | August 25, 2024 |
| Tvååker | Ariana | 0 - 2 | June 8, 2024 |
| Ariana | Tvååker | 0 - 1 | August 19, 2023 |
| Tvååker | Ariana | 0 - 1 | April 29, 2023 |
Tvååker Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Olympic | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Kristianstad | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Atvidabergs FF | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Utsikten | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Hässleholms IF | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Angelholms FF | 3 - 2 | Win |
Ariana Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Lund | 2 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Olympic | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | trelleborgs FF | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Angelholms FF | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Jonkopings Sodra | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Olympic | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Ettan - Södra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ariana | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 27 | +8 | 29 |
| 7 | Tvååker | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.94% likelihood that both Tvååker and Ariana will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Tvååker to win
This prediction indicates that Tvååker has a 51.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.98 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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